Week 5 of the NFL season gets underway with a thrilling Thursday night matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons enter this home game as 1.5-point favorites with odds of -125 on the Moneyline, while the Buccaneers are given +105 odds. With a game total of 44 points on DraftKings Sportsbook, this NFC South clash promises to be one for the books.
A key matchup that fans and bettors alike will be watching closely is between Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin and Falcons cornerback Dee Alford. Godwin has been having a standout season, notching 27 receptions on 34 targets for 322 yards and three touchdowns. He’s eclipsed 64.5 receiving yards in three of the first four games, with his most notable performance being a 117-yard effort against the Lions. Most of his success has come from the slot, where he has racked up 228 of his yards and two of his touchdowns. His 19.2 Reception EPA shows just how dangerous he has been in this position.
Dee Alford will have the tough task of covering Godwin in these crucial slot situations. This season, Alford has allowed 21 receptions on 25 targets for 180 yards and two touchdowns. While these numbers may raise some concern, Alford has previously held Godwin to under 64.5 receiving yards in three of their four career matchups.
Despite this history, Godwin remains a central part of Tampa Bay’s passing attack, leading the team in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. With Baker Mayfield ranking sixth in the league for passing yards, expect Godwin to play a critical role in deciding the outcome of this game. The Buccaneers’ offense is firing on all cylinders, and the Falcons defense will need to rise to the occasion.
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